Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#20
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#33
Pace61.3#302
Improvement-2.6#266

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#53
Improvement-3.1#308

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#15
Improvement+0.5#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round95.8% n/a n/a
Second Round57.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.1% n/a n/a
Final Four4.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 165   Tennessee St. W 71-37 93%     1 - 0 +30.7 +4.3 +29.6
  Nov 15, 2011 217   @ Southern Illinois W 61-42 88%     2 - 0 +19.4 -4.0 +25.6
  Nov 20, 2011 67   Washington W 77-64 81%     3 - 0 +16.8 +8.4 +8.8
  Nov 24, 2011 252   Boston College W 62-51 95%     4 - 0 +5.6 -2.8 +10.0
  Nov 25, 2011 83   Villanova W 80-68 75%     5 - 0 +17.9 +13.7 +4.9
  Nov 27, 2011 96   Oklahoma W 83-63 78%     6 - 0 +25.1 +16.5 +9.4
  Nov 29, 2011 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-75 79%     6 - 1 -2.3 +8.3 -11.5
  Dec 03, 2011 286   Portland W 73-53 98%     7 - 1 +9.3 +5.8 +6.6
  Dec 07, 2011 139   Vermont W 62-43 90%     8 - 1 +17.8 -2.2 +22.6
  Dec 17, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 65-35 99%     9 - 1 +14.4 +1.8 +18.5
  Dec 22, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 70-46 94%     10 - 1 +18.9 +9.6 +14.9
  Dec 27, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 71-39 97%     11 - 1 +21.9 +1.7 +22.1
  Dec 31, 2011 14   @ New Mexico L 60-64 34%     11 - 2 +13.3 +5.5 +7.3
  Jan 04, 2012 65   @ Dayton L 72-79 OT 59%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +3.8 -6.1 +10.7
  Jan 07, 2012 167   George Washington W 78-56 93%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +18.5 +10.4 +10.0
  Jan 11, 2012 35   Temple L 67-72 71%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +2.2 -1.4 +3.4
  Jan 14, 2012 151   @ Charlotte W 68-67 79%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +5.7 -1.2 +6.9
  Jan 21, 2012 114   Duquesne W 68-41 88%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +27.3 +3.8 +27.4
  Jan 25, 2012 61   @ Xavier W 73-68 58%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +16.1 +7.3 +8.9
  Jan 28, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts L 59-72 63%     15 - 5 4 - 3 -3.2 -12.0 +9.8
  Feb 01, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure W 86-62 79%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +28.7 +20.1 +10.2
  Feb 04, 2012 65   Dayton W 58-50 81%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +12.0 -12.7 +25.1
  Feb 08, 2012 62   @ Saint Joseph's W 72-60 58%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +23.0 +7.4 +16.3
  Feb 11, 2012 53   @ La Salle W 59-51 56%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +19.6 -5.8 +25.6
  Feb 15, 2012 111   Richmond W 64-50 87%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +14.7 -2.4 +18.9
  Feb 18, 2012 265   Fordham W 66-46 97%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +10.6 +3.4 +11.0
  Feb 25, 2012 215   @ Rhode Island L 62-64 88%     21 - 6 10 - 4 -1.4 -4.6 +3.0
  Feb 28, 2012 61   Xavier W 70-59 80%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +15.3 +3.8 +12.1
  Mar 03, 2012 114   @ Duquesne W 75-60 72%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +22.1 +8.8 +14.3
  Mar 09, 2012 53   La Salle W 78-71 68%     24 - 6 +15.2 +7.7 +7.3
  Mar 10, 2012 61   Xavier L 64-71 70%     24 - 7 +0.7 +2.1 -2.0
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 96.0% 96.0% 9.0 0.6 2.0 6.7 19.2 34.8 25.3 7.1 0.3 4.1 96.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 96.0% 0.0% 96.0% 9.0 0.6 2.0 6.7 19.2 34.8 25.3 7.1 0.3 4.1 96.0%